Analysis of the 03-24-08 DraftTek Mock Draft Model Simulation Run for the NY Jets
March 24, 2008Sorry for the lack of new posts. At the same time, there has not been much news to discuss.
The current NY Jets’ team needs matrix remains set to allow the Jets to take the best player available. Period. This is called drafting from a position of strength. The areas of need still project to be WR, DB and ILB.
The more simulations runs that I see, the more I suspect that the Jets will try and trade down in the first round of the draft. There is no “official” commentary from the Jets as to what they are going to do in the draft. They are not going to tip their hand. Actions speak louder than words. At the same time, actions can be used to hide their intentions. The Jets have shown interest in both Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College and Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas. There have been visits to pro days and interviews. They have to do this even if they do not want these players. It is part of the game and improves their negotiating position. They will get more from the Cowboys if the Cowboys believe that the Jets want McFadden. It is that simple.
The projected selections are as follows:
#006 Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas.
#037 Jerod Mayo, ILB, Tennessee
#099 Tyrell Johnson, SS, Arkansas St.
#110 John David Booty, QB, USC
To me this simulation run really makes one think. I am guessing that the Jets are very active on draft day making trades and accumulating picks. In a deal with the Cowboys that netted only their picks at #22 and #28, the Jets would be looking at two wide receivers: Sweed and Hardy along with two cornerbacks: Talib and Cason. There is some player overlap in this scenario but it would be very likely that any 3 of the 4 aforementioned players would be available. There are other talented players projected to be available but these players meet perceived needs.
Assume that the Jets might be able to get Hardy and Talib and contemplate what the Jets might look like in 2008.
Be sure to go to www.DraftTek.com to see the entire simulation run.
All and all, I like the draft. I do think the Jets need a WR more than your simulation does. I looked at Mario Manningham and find Draft Tek had him at 29, the last time I looked. With very few roster choices I think this is second. I looked at CB and don’t think there is value any more. Too many picked by #36.
If the Cowboys think the Jets would draft McFadden, wouldn’t they trade above the Jets?
In the 03-26-08 draft, the Jets went RB, ILB, FS, SS, QB, WR. Excellent choices! Four D, two O. But the two WRs the Jets have rated like two #2 WRs. On the O side, I think WR is the most glaring need. Seventh round seems late!
In your comments you like Hardy, but the 03-28-08 draft misses him for an ILB. I’d also like a WR in round two. Doucet or Hardy would make me smile!
With no updates here to match the drafts, I’ll keep updating here. Rogers-Cromartie has one kidney! I think he falls on this alone. Jenkins has good marks on most sites.